Q-News Mike's Commentary

November 2010

The Times They Are A-Changing*

Posted in Mike's Commentary

As we approach the end of the year it is always interesting to reflect on what one has accomplished during the past 12 months and to put serious thought into plans for the next twelve months and beyond. In early 2006, as we kicked off Q1 Capital (and put Fusion to bed), it was apparent that a business model based solely on raising capital for private Canadian technology companies from Canadian and U.S. VCs was doomed to fail. With the writing on the wall, we actively began to move away from financings and refocused our business on providing merger and acquisition advisory services. Looking back, when I cofounded Fusion Capital there were over 55 venture capital firms in Canada looking to finance technology companies and there was

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October 2010

Commentary for September 2010

Posted in Mike's Commentary

Bridgescale Partners continued to make its presence known in September with the announcement of its participation in a $7 million financing for Rypple. Since opening shop in Toronto in June 2009, Bridgescale has made three investments: Dayforce, Bluecat Networks, and now Rypple. Bridgescale also finally announced that Derek Smyth joined the firm as Managing Director. Derek was formerly a Partner at Edgestone Capital Partners, President and CEO of Bridgewater Systems Corporation and COO at Ironside Technologies. I am sure that he will be a valuable addition to Bridgescale’s Canadian operation.

We also came across another Wellington Financial transaction with $5 million in venture debt going to Markham-based Real Matters. This transaction is the eighth transaction for Wellington this year with six deals in the U.S., totaling $37.25 million, and two in Canada for a total of $15 million. By my estimation, that put them at the top of...

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September 2010

Monthly Round-up for August/September

Posted in Mike's Commentary

Q1 Capital’s newsletter and my commentary are a little later than usual this month as we’ve been quite busy with a number of mandates on both the sell and buy-side.  Plus, with Labor Day falling on September 6 this year, it was hard not to resist the temptation of getting in some last minute golf with clients at Coppinwood. 

M&A activity in Canada picked up momentum in the second quarter with Financial Post Crosbie: Merger & Acquisitions in Canada reporting that Q2 deal values improved 44% over the first quarter of 2010.  During the quarter there were 255 announced transactions valued at $34.8 billion compared to 258 transactions for $241 billion in Q1.  Certainly from our perspective the important metric is that for the first six months of the year there were 336 transactions reported in the $5 million to $100 million range for just over $9 billion (average of $26.9 million) compared to the comparable period in 2009 where 244 transactions were reported for $5.4 billion (average $22 million).  Anecdotally, we are receiving a substantial increase in incoming calls from...

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August 2010

M&A Activity Trends Higher Despite Growing Economic Concerns

Posted in Mike's Commentary

M&A sources that we follow have all reported that the second quarter of 2010 was a strong one for technology deals in the U.S. with both the number of transactions and the value of transactions improving markedly. Depending on the source, deal volume increased on a year-over-year basis by between 12% and 24% while deal value increased between 27% and 43%. While the difference between the reported sources is significant, the trend from all sources is definitely upwards, which is very positive given the current state of uncertainty in the US and concerns over another economic slowdown or recession. It will be interesting to see the results of Canadian transactions, particularly since Canadian sources reported that first quarter M&A activity in Canada showed its first...

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July 2010

The shoemaker's children are often shoeless

Posted in Mike's Commentary

I guess I’m a good example of the old proverb about the shoemaker's children.  While my firm has been busy selling our client’s businesses we simply haven’t spent enough time selling ourselves.  During the past month I’ve had a number of meetings with companies and individuals who were not fully aware of the fact that Q1 Capital is almost entirely focused on providing M&A advisory services to private Canadian companies looking to monetize the value of their businesses.  As with many of the successful companies that we work with, we have changed and adapted our business model to meet the challenges and opportunities presented by the North American capital markets.  Where we were once focused entirely on raising capital for technology companies from Canadian and US venture capitalists, in early 2006 we anticipated the decline in VC investment capital and transitioned our business model to the active and important M&A advisory component of the capital markets.

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June 2010

May Shows a Nice Uptick in Activity

Posted in Mike's Commentary

We saw a nice uptick during the month of May in terms if both reported deals and dollars invested.  For the month, we found a total of 14 transactions being reported for $84.7 million with sizable investments being made in Delta Q Technologies ($17 million), Blueprint Software Systems ($14.3 million), Vantrix ($14 million), Vivonet ($8.5 million), Energate ($7.2 million) and Sidense ($5 million).

There was plenty of interesting news on the VC front...

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May 2010

BumpTop Me!!!!

Posted in Mike's Commentary

First came Google and then came BumpTop, a company name that is poised to become a verb. Can’t you just see all of the early-stage technology companies with inflated views on valuation and the inevitable or preordained sale to Google, Microsoft or Oracle looking you in the eye and telling you straight faced that they are the next BumpTop? All kidding aside, kudos to Anand Agarawala, his angel investors, Amar Varma at Extreme Venture Partners and Scott Pelton at Growthworks, for believing in Anand’s ability to turn his masters thesis “Enriching the Desktop with Physics, Piles and the Pen” into reality, grow his team to 16 employees, and convert $1.65 million in investment capital into a rumored $30 million sale to Google. Hopefully we’ll see lots more Canadian companies get “BumpTopped” in the near future!

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April 2010

Plenty Of Players But Still Little Money

Posted in Mike's Commentary

While reported financings in March simply confirm the continued weakness of the Canadian private investment sector, a real positive note was the large number of firms that made investments last month.  These included: Covington Capital, VentureLink, Wellington Financial, MMV Financial, Morningside Technology Venture,BDC, Northwater Intellectual Property Fund, Ontario Centres of Excellence, Chrysallix Energy, Green Angel Energy Corporation, Northbridge Capital Partners, Caisse de depot et du Quebec, FIER Longueuil, Fonds Soutien Longueuil, Investissement MSCI, ACE Management, NSBI Venture Capital, MSBI Valorisation, Go Capital Fund, BankInvest New Energy Solutions (Denmark), SiC Processing (Germany), Bekaert (Belgium), Epic Ventures, Gideon Hixon, Enertech Capital, Cycad Group, Espirito Santo Ventures, Milcom Technologies, Applied Ventures, Phoenix Fire and Merrimaker.  No doubt the large number of foreign investors bodes well for the sector.

 

Another positive note during the month was...

 

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March 2010

Can’t you feel it getting warmer?

Posted in Mike's Commentary

Good news on the M&A front with just published 2009 results showing that we ended the year with a very strong quarter.  Crosbie & Co. reported that the number of fourth quarter transactions increased by 18% year-over-year with 254 transactions totalling $32.9 million versus 216 transactions worth $19.9 million during the same period in 2008. Importantly, Q4 represented the third straight quarter of increasing activity.  For the year, early numbers indicate that a total of 837 transactions worth $1.348 trillion were completed, representing a 27% decrease from the 2008 transaction volume of 1,152 deals but an increase of 23% over 2008 transaction value of $1.097 trillion.

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February 2010

"Flat" appears to be the new "Up"

Posted in Mike's Commentary

We ended 2009 with another disappointing month and January’s results were basically flat year-over-year, which is not a good thing when we reflect on the state of the market 12 months ago. Nonetheless, we do see positive signs in the fact that so many different VC investors took part in transactions. In December, we saw investments from BDC, Propulsion Ventures, The Solidarity Fund QFL, Yaletown Venture Partners and the New Brunswick Innovation Foundation while January saw announcements from Wellington Financial, JLA Ventures, Tech Capital Partners, Ontario Emerging Technologies Fund, BDC, Growthworks (Atlantic Venture Fund and Canadian Fund), Ventures West, Pangaea Ventures, First Leaside and Ontario’s Investment Accelerator Fund.

What continues to be of great concern is the number of Canadian VCs that are investing in US companies while Canadian technology companies continue to face so many challenges when trying to attract capital. I still have trouble believing that there are not enough good Canadian companies looking for capital. During December, we saw...

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