Q-News Mike's Commentary

January 2009

US VC Predictions for 2009

Posted in Mike's Commentary

One has to look no further than the recent NVCA Annual Survey published on December 17 to get a good sense of how the morass of economic reports and prognostications of doom and gloom are affecting the mindset of many US venture capitalists.  While many of us might share similar expectations for 2009, a number of the predictions have a real and significant impact for Canadian technology companies that in the past could rely on US capital for Series B and C rounds.

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December 2008

Nice to get this one behind us

Posted in Mike's Commentary

We all know and accept the fact that we work in a cyclical business.  That’s just the way it is.  Until recently, pundits claimed that recessions, while becoming more volatile were also becoming cyclically shorter.  Boy, has that view changed.  With observations that the US has already been in a recession for over a year, it’s good to know that we have at least 12 months of pain behind us.  While it’s impossible to predict the future, at least all of the world’s major economies are attempting to work aggressively to meet this challenge.  All we know for sure is that things will eventually get better.

 

More to come? 

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November 2008

October...More Trick than Treat

Posted in Mike's Commentary

A little late getting the newsletter out this month.  I was really hoping that by delaying a couple of days we might be able to report a few more news releases announcing October financings.  Unfortunately that was not the case and the results for October are abysmal.  Not only were there only nine reported financings, but only one was for an Ontario-based company.  Usually Ontario ranks number one or two for monthly financings so this level of activity should be of particular concern to all members of the Canadian investment community.  One more bullet point in the long list of reasons Ontario has officially became a “have-not” province.  On the upside......

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September 2008

Trailing 12-Month Charts don't Lie

Posted in Mike's Commentary

September turned out to be a “relatively” strong month in terms of dollars invested.  In fact, not since September of 2007 have we seen as much invested in Canadian private companies in a month.  Looking at the accompanying chart one might begin to think that investment in Canadian private companies is beginning to trend positively but that is not the case.  Looking at our trailing 12-month chart we can see that the number of transactions reported during the past year has not changed appreciably since June 2007 while the amount invested during the trailing period has not made any significant gains since January 2007.  I guess the best that can be said at this point is that the decline appears to have flattened out and we are in a sideways pattern.  It’s sad to see that the number of companies receiving capital over a 12-month period has decline by over 50% since December 2005.  Meanwhile, larger transactions involving later stage companies are the play of the day.

 

On the positive side.......

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August 2008

The Song Remains the Same

Posted in Mike's Commentary

As usual, August turned out to be a rather slow month, maybe a little more so this year as it seemed that many members of the investment community took a little extra time to recharge for what will certainly be a challenging final four months of the year.

 

It’s notable that one of our sector’s busiest firms, Wellington Financial, participated in a $20 million debt financing syndicate led by GMP Investment Management for Polaris Minerals Corporation.  Polaris, a TSX-listed firm focused on the development of quarries and the production of construction aggregates in BC, is not the kind of firm that one would expect to see Wellington finance.  This is a pretty clear indication that in the current environment there are simply not enough interesting Canadian technology investment opportunities capable of attracting or supporting $5 million in specialty debt.

 

It’s good to see....

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July 2008

It's Not All Bad News

Posted in Mike's Commentary

As we move into the last two weeks of the summer Canada’s venture sector is unlikely to rebound like our Olympic medal count.  For those interested, as of August 18th, the US has 67, China has 66 medals and Canada earned 8 over the weekend bringing us to 15th place tied with Romania, Kazakhstan and Spain.  Also unlike venture sector, there is great optimism for Canada to ramp our medal count over the next week.  Then it’s only two years to the Vancouver Winter Olympics when Whistler Chalets will be renting for $100,000 / month. 

 

Plenty of news coming out of the CVCA and NVCA this month with the reporting of second quarter and first half numbers.  Rather than blather on about the dire state of the Canadian venture capital universe I’ll just let the numbers speak for themselves.....

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June 2008

And then there were ?????

Posted in Mike's Commentary

June represented an upswing in venture capital investments with 16 companies reporting raising $143.4 million compared to the 16 companies that reported raising $71.5 million in May and the 8 companies that reported raising $58.8 million in June 2007.  Unfortunately, technology companies only accounted for 6 of the transactions for a total of $27 million.

 

On the funds side, the meltdown in the Canadian Venture Capital industry continues.  This month alone...

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May 2008

If it looks like a token gesture and it quacks like a token gesture, then it's a token gesture!

Posted in Mike's Commentary

There has been plenty of excellent commentary this month regarding the June 11th announcement on the $205 million Ontario Venture Capital Fund (Wellington Financial, Startupnorth) so I’m not going to continue beating a dead horse, but when you really dig into the state of the VC sector (as detailed by the government and well known by everyone else in the investment space) and you look at the Ontario government’s feeble response you have to wonder if anyone at the premier’s office really understands the long term ramifications of a technology sector that has no money available for growth or innovation…or maybe they’re just too busy trying to figure out how much more money they can throw at GM (the last round was a $175 million 50-year interest free loan) to keep the truck plants going!  You can be sure that the ramifications for Ontario’s economy will be a substantial multiple of this commitment.

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April 2008

April-May Bring Plenty of Activity

Posted in Mike's Commentary

Plenty of interesting news this month so let’s start off with the big item impacting the Canadian venture capital space.  Kuddos to our friend Rick Segal at JLA for his role in the newly announced $150 million Blackberry Partners Fund.

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March 2008

Expressions of Interest in Funding Companies

Posted in Mike's Commentary

Mike attended the TiEQuest Awards Dinner that was held last Saturday and Liquid Fiber Displays was declared the 2008 winner.  They won some cash, and a lot of services, but the biggest news was that four leading funds automatically expressed interest in funding them. 

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